Leon Aron Senior Fellow, American Enterprise Institute
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Opinion

Why China helping end Russia-Ukraine war is just a pipe dream

Leon Aron Senior Fellow, American Enterprise Institute
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As soon as Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, shortly after having announced its “friendship without limits” with China, experts worried that Xi Jinping might risk anything to help achieve a victory for Putin. More than two years into the war, however, with Russia now a global pariah under severe sanctions and Ukrainian troops now holding parts of Russia, China has so far refrained from officially providing any direct lethal support to the Russian war effort.

Nonetheless, China supplies about $300 million in “dual use” items exported to Russia each month, or items that can be used both for commercial and military purposes, including some necessary components for tanks and drones.

Watch the video above as Straight Arrow News contributor Leon Aron dives into the history of China, Russia and Marxism to help Americans understand why he says Xi’s China will never pivot away from Putin’s Russia or towards the West, regardless of what happens in Ukraine.


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The following is an excerpt from the above video:

China is Russia’s lifeline. It supplies almost all key components of the Russian war machine, among them microelectronics for missiles, tanks and aircraft, machine tools for ammunition production, and nitrocellulose, a critical explosive ingredient for artillery shells.

Just as important, China pays at least half of Russia’s war expenditures. The war is estimated to cost the Kremlin between $340 and $375 million a day. At $197 million per day, China’s payments for Russia’s oil, LNG and natural gas covered between 58% and 52% of that amount.

At long last, the West is waking up to the situation. This past June, the G7 leaders were reported labeling China the savior of Putin’s Russia. Three weeks later, in Washington, the NATO Summit declaration called Beijing the decisive enabler of the war against Ukraine.

And yet the West is still dreaming of enlisting China to restrain Russia, or even to end the war with one phone call, in the words of the Finnish President Alexander Stubb. But there’s a problem with this plan. Xi Jinping’s assist to Russia goes beyond obvious tactical considerations. It is bound up with passionately held ideological convictions. The name is Marxism.

China is Russia’s lifeline. It supplies almost all key components of the Russian war machine among them microelectronics for missiles, tanks and aircraft machine tools for ammunition production and nitrocellulose, a critical explosive ingredient for artillery shells.

 

Just as important, China pays at least half of Russia’s war expenditures. The war is estimated to cost the Kremlin between 340

 

and $375

 

million a day, at 190 $7 million per day. China’s payments for Russia’s oil, LNG and natural gas, covered between 58 and 52%

 

of that amount.

 

At long last, the West is waking up to the situation. This past June, the g7 leaders were reported labeling China the savior of Putin’s Russia. Three weeks later, in Washington, the NATO Summit declaration called Beijing the decisive enabler of the war against Ukraine.

 

And yet the West is still dreaming of enlisting China to restrain Russia, or even to end the war with one phone call, in the words of the Finnish President Alexander Stubb

 

but there’s a problem with this plan.

 

Xi Jinping, assistant to Russia, and goes beyond obvious tactical considerations, it is bound up with passionately held ideological convictions. The name is Marxism.

 

No General Secretary since Mao has pledged allegiance to Marxism with Xi’s order

 

less than two months into his tenure, in one of his first speeches as the party leader, she directed the newly elected Central Committee members to keep up with the living soul of Marxism

 

communism, he said was the party’s highest ideal and its ultimate goal. He called Marx the greatest thinker in human history. In 2018

 

she celebrated Marx’s 200th birthday with a speech at the Great Hall of the People. The title of the oration was Marx’s theory still shines with truth.

 

What makes Xi’s reverence for Marx relevant to our story is a philosophy of history which is central to Marxism, known as historical materialism. It postulates the inexorable development of society’s forces of production, or economic base when economic progress comes in conflict with the political and cultural superstructure of a society, a revolution led by the oppressed classes overturns the old order and replaces it With a new system befitting the economy. Eventually, this process would lead to the overthrow of capitalism and the onset of communism.

 

From the very beginning of his rule, 12 years ago, Xi Jinping has emphasized two points, first, the historical materialist view that capitalism will inevitably die out and socialism will inevitably triumph. Is just as valid today as it was over a century and a half ago when Marx and Engels articulated it is so because, as she added, this doctrine describes what he called the irreversible general trends of social and historical development.

 

Xi’s second emphasis has been on what he called Marx’s unremitting fight to overturn the old world and establish a new one. This new world, she declared, cannot be dominated by capitalism in the West, and the time will come for a change. No wonder that the old Marxist, Leninist, Fidel Castro called she one of the strongest and most capable revolutionary leaders I have met in my life.

 

The prospect of revolutionary change is all the more alluring to the General Secretary and President because of what he described as unprecedented, once in a century and most profound changes sweeping the world today, paraphrasing Xi Jinping the.

 

Government Peoples Daily stated that the West’s dominance of International Relations became hard to sustain, as did their orientation toward western values. Enter Putin’s war above and beyond the obvious geopolitical gains for the zealous Marxist in Beijing, Russia’s win would constitute a powerful vindication of the Marxist vision of history. A demoralized and degraded West would be Exhibit A of the decay of the bourgeois democracies, and thus validate the party’s place on the right side of history and human progress, in the words of a central committee resolution

 

Marx called violence the midwife of every old society, pregnant with a new one.

 

She’s mentors Lenin Stalin and Mao all forged or expanded communist regimes

 

during or in the immediate aftermath of wars in allying the Soviet Union with Hitler’s Germany between 1939 and 1941

 

the devout Marxist Joseph Stalin established an especially pertinent precedent,

 

a communist state aiding a fascist regime in its war on the capitalist west,

 

to quote the People’s Daily again, She is driven by a powerful sense of mission and by concerns about the future and destiny of mankind,

 

and so the West’s hopes for China’s help in ending Putin’s war on Ukraine are likely to be a pipe dream led by a faithful Marxist. China is almost certainly to stand by Putin in pursuit of a victory foretold by a dogma which its ruler so fervently believes in. The.