President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are essentially tied nationally and in some key battleground states. A recent poll found that Trump has 50% support nationally among likely voters, while Biden has 49%. The poll indicates that the recent Trump guilty verdict in the hush money case is not significantly influencing voters; instead, inflation and the economy are the primary concerns.
Watch the above video as Straight Arrow News contributor David Pakman discusses how the election could go either way. Pakman presents arguments for both presidential candidates, starting with the former president.
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The following is an excerpt from the above video:
So let me first make the case for why Trump is really well positioned to win, although presidents usually do get reelected, and even more so when the economy is good. Right now, half the country believes we’re in a recession. That is terrible for Joe Biden, even if it isn’t true. I think the economy is doing fine, according to every single metric. But if half the country thinks the economy is in a recession, which they do — a new poll just out — that is very good for Donald Trump. I don’t know how Biden could win if half the country thinks the country is in a recession.
Secondly, nobody loves the Biden ticket. There are many people who say the Biden ticket is way better than the alternative, I’m going to vote for Biden. There are many people who say, well, Biden I like, I’m not big on Kamala Harris. There are people who say the problem with Biden is his age, I want someone younger. Even if you recognize the accomplishments of Biden, as I do, it is not an exciting ticket in the way many people want it to be. The people on the Trump side love Trump — love Trump to a fault. They are essentially in a cult, but it doesn’t matter. That still is good for Donald Trump.
Interested in opposing perspectives? Have a look at how our other contributors view this issue from across the political spectrum:
Larry Lindsey: Election 2024 will boil down to the Great Lakes states
John Fortier: How do presidential debates work?