US risks credit downgrade ahead of debt default. Here’s what happened last time.
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This story is a Media Miss by the right as only 0% of the coverage is from right leaning media. Learn more about this dataSIMONE DEL ROSARIO: THE U-S HAS BEEN PUT ON NOTICE. FITCH RATINGS WARNING THE U-S’S TRIPLE A STATUS IS NOW ON “RATING WATCH NEGATIVE.”
FITCH BASICALLY SAYING THE CLOSER THE COUNTRY GETS TO THAT X DATE – WHEN IT CAN’T PAY ITS BILLS – THE CLOSER IT GETS TO NOT DESERVING THAT SHINY TRIPLE A RATING.
THAT X DATE COULD BE AS SOON AS ONE WEEK FROM NOW. AND WASHINGTON IS STILL IN A STANDOFF AS THEY GO HOME FOR THE MEMORIAL DAY HOLIDAY.
REP. KEVIN MCCARTHY: We’re not gonna default, we’re gonna solve this problem. I will stay with it until we can get it don.
REP. HAKEEM JEFFRIES: It’s not clear to me that the extreme MAGA Republicans in the house are having these discussions in good faith.
SIMONE DEL ROSARIO: FITCH BLAMES “INCREASED POLITICAL PARTISANSHIP” IN THE FACE OF THE FAST-APPROACHING X DATE FOR ITS NEGATIVE RATING WATCH.
AND THE RATINGS AGENCY SAID ONLY A CONGRESSIONAL DEAL WILL DO…NOTING “AVOIDING DEFAULT BY NON-CONVENTIONAL MEANS SUCH AS MINTING A TRILLION-DOLLAR COIN OR INVOKING THE 14TH AMENDMENT IS UNLIKELY TO BE CONSISTENT WITH A ‘AAA’ RATING AND COULD ALSO BE SUBJECT TO LEGAL CHALLENGES.”
CREDIT RATINGS CARRY ENORMOUS WEIGHT IN COMMUNICATING THE RISKINESS OF INVESTING IN A COUNTRY OR A COMPANY. TRIPLE A IS THE HIGHEST MARK OF CREDITWORTHINESS, GIVEN TO THE U-S BY BOTH FITCH AND MOODY’S.
MOODY’S IS WARNING IT TOO COULD TURN NEGATIVE EVEN BEFORE A DEFAULT IF POLITICIANS MAKE IT SOUND LIKE IT’S POSSIBLE A DEAL WON’T BE REACHED.
THE LAST TIME THE U-S WAS IN THIS POSITION? 2011, AT THE BRINK OF DEFAULT. THE S&P DOWNGRADED THE U-S FROM TRIPLE A TO DOUBLE A PLUS, A MOVE THAT WAS WIDELY CRITICIZED BY POLITICIANS BUT S&P STOOD BY IT. THAT’S WHERE ITS U-S RATING STANDS TODAY.
THE DAY IT WAS DOWNGRADED, MARKETS ROLLED. IN THE WEEKS SURROUNDED THE DEBT CRISIS IN 2011, THE S&P 500 INDEX FELL 17%.
THIS WEEK – THE MARKET IS BARELY DOWN OVERALL, INVESTORS CLEARLY CONFIDENT THAT WASHINGTON WILL RAISE THE DEBT CEILING BEFORE DEFAULT.
I’M SIMONE DEL ROSARIO IN NEW YORK IT’S JUST BUSINESS.