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Poll: Trump leads in 5 of 6 battleground states Biden won in 2020

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The 2024 presidential election is nearing and new polls show former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden in five of the six key battleground states. The polls — conducted by The New York Times, Siena College and The Philadelphia Inquirer from April 28 to May 9 — reveal that Trump is leading among registered voters in Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Georgia and Nevada. Though Biden maintains a two-point lead in Wisconsin, he won all six states in 2020.

The findings also highlight dissatisfaction among young and non-white voters with Biden’s presidential performance. Young Black and Hispanic voters expressed a desire for fundamental changes.

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According to the Times, “a yearning for change and discontent over the economy and the war in Gaza” among young Black and Hispanic voters could “unravel the president’s Democratic coalition.”

The survey indicates that 20% of Black voters support Trump — the highest level of support for any Republican candidate in that demographic since the civil rights movement of the 1960s.

Regarding potential changes, only 11% of respondents believe that changes Biden would make “would be very good for the country,” while 19% view them as “very bad for the country.”

In contrast, Trump receives more positive marks, with 30% of respondents believing the changes he would make would be “very good for the country.” However, 29% think his changes would be “very bad.”

Both candidates are actively campaigning. Trump is also in the midst of his criminal trial in New York City, facing 34 criminal counts related to “hush-money” payments to adult film star Stormy Daniels. Despite this, the trial does not appear to have a significant negative effect on voters.

In the current climate, 40% of respondents said they would vote for Trump while 33% said they would vote for Biden if the election were held at the time the polls were conducted. Additionally, 10% express their intention to vote for Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the third-party candidate pulling votes from both sides of the political aisle.

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[LAUREN TAYLOR]

WITH LESS THAN 6 MONTHS TO GO UNTIL THE 2024 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION –

NEW POLLS SHOW FORMER PRESIDENT TRUMP LEADING PRESIDENT BIDEN IN FIVE KEY BATTLEGROUND STATES.

THE POLL – CONDUCTED BY THE NEW YORK TIMES, SIENA COLLEGE AND THE PHILADELPHIA INQUIRER – FROM APRIL 28TH TO MAY 9TH – SHOW TRUMP LEADING AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS IN 5 OF 6 BATTLEGROUND STATES — PENNSYLVANIA, ARIZONA, MICHIGAN, GEORGIA AND NEVADA. BIDEN HAS A TWO-POINT LEAD IN IN WISCONSIN – 47% TO 45%.

BIDEN WON ALL SIX STATES IN 2020. 

THE FINDINGS ALSO REVEAL – YOUNG AND NON-WHITE VOTERS ARE DISSATISFIED WITH BIDEN’S PRESIDENTIAL PERFORMANCE. YOUNG BLACK AND HISPANIC VOTERS SAY THEY WANT TO SEE WANT FUNDAMENTAL CHANGES.

THE TIMES REPORTS “A YEARNING FOR CHANGE AND DISCONTENT OVER THE ECONOMY AND THE WAR IN GAZA AMONG YOUNG, BLACK AND HISPANIC VOTERS THREATEN TO UNRAVEL THE PRESIDENT’S DEMOCRATIC COALITION”.

THE SURVEY FINDS – 20% SUPPORT FOR TRUMP AMONG BLACK VOTERS – THE HIGHEST LEVEL OF SUPPORT FOR ANY REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE AMONG THAT DEMOGRAPHIC SINCE THE CIVIL RIGHTS MOVEMENT OF 1965. 

ONLY 11% OF RESPONDENTS SAID CHANGES BIDEN WOULD MAKE “WOULD BE VERY GOOD FOR THE COUNTRY” – WHILE 19% SAID BIDEN CHANGES – WOULD BE “VERY BAD FOR THE COUNTRY.”

TRUMP GOT MORE POSITIVE MARKS FOR HIS POTENTIAL CHANGES, WITH 30% OF RESPONDENTS SAYING THEY WOULD BE “VERY GOOD FOR THE COUNTRY.” BUT HE ALSO HAD MORE NEGATIVE MARKS, WITH 29% SAYING HIS CHANGES WOULD BE “VERY BAD.”

CURRENTLY – BOTH CANDIDATES HAVE BEEN HITTING THE CAMPAIGN TRAIL. TRUMP IS ALSO IN THE MIDDLE OF HIS CRIMINAL TRIAL IN NEW YORK CITY – WHERE HE’S FACING 34 CRIMINAL COUNTS RELATED TO SO-CALLED “HUSH-MONEY” PAYMENTS TO ADULT FILM STAR STORMY DANIELS. TRUMP HAS REPEATEDLY  CRITICIZED THE TRAIL AS A WITCH HUNT AND SAID THAT IT’S HURTING HIS ELECTORAL CHANCES BY LIMITING HIS TIME TO CAMPAIGN. 

THE TRIAL, THOUGH, DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE  HAVING MUCH OF A NEGATIVE EFFECT ON VOTERS. 

40% OF RESPONDENTS SAID THEY WOULD VOTE FOR TRUMP – COMPARED TO 33% FOR BIDEN – IF THE ELECTION WERE HELD TODAY.

10% ALSO SAID THEY WOULD VOTE FOR ROBERT F KENNEDY JUNIOR – THE THIRD PARTY CANDIDATE PULLING VOTES FROM BOTH SIDE OF THE POLITICAL AISLE.

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