[Ryan Robertson]
AS TEMPERATURES IN THE ARCTIC HEAT UP–SO TOO ARE THE TENSIONS.
UNTIL RECENTLY, THE ARCTIC WAS MOSTLY A REGION OF INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION, BUT IT’S BECOMING A BATTLEGROUND FOR GLOBAL POWER….AND EARLIER THIS WEEK THE U-S ARMY DEPLOYED HIMARS TO THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS–DRAWING A LINE IN THE SAND–OR WATER AGAINST POTENTIAL CHINESE OR RUSSIAN AGGRESSION.
CHINA IS EXPANDING ITS PRESENCE IN THE ARCTIC, PURSUING INFLUENCE IN THE GOVERNANCE THERE AND TAPPING INTO ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES CREATED BY CLIMATE CHANGE.
AT THE SAME TIME, ITS GROWING PARTNERSHIP WITH RUSSIA—WHICH SEEPS INTO TRADE, SCIENCE, AND MILITARY COOPERATION—IS RESHAPING REGIONAL DYNAMICS.
THE PENTAGON SAYS THIS UNPRECEDENTED COLLABORATION POSES POTENTIAL SECURITY THREATS NEAR ALASKA AND COULD ALTER THE STRATEGIC BALANCE IN THE ARCTIC.
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BUT THIS WEEK THE DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF DEFENSE — IRIS FERGUSON — IS SAYING JOINT PATROLS BY CHINESE AND RUSSIAN WARSHIPS, BOMBERS, AND COAST GUARDS ARE GROWING MORE FREQUENT. LIKE THAT LARGE-SCALE OPERATION OFF ALASKA’S COAST IN JULY. FERGUSON SAYS THESE MOVES MARK A SIGNIFICANT SHIFT, GIVING CHINA NEW AND CONCERNING ACCESS TO THE ARCTIC.
THE ARCTIC, ONCE CONSIDERED A REMOTE BUFFER ZONE, IS BECOMING MORE ACCESSIBLE DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE. SINCE THERE’S NOT AS MUCH ICE, NEW SHIPPING LANES ARE BEING EXPOSED–AS WELL AS ACCESS TO RESOURCES., THE FASTER THE ICE MELTS, THE QUICKER COMPETITION IN THE REGION ACCELERATES.
IRIS A. FERGUSON
DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF DEFENSE FOR ARCTIC AND GLOBAL RESILIENCE
“The PRC I think is one of the newer entrance on the scene, relatively speaking I think over time. The Strategic interest that they have in the region our think or what are giving us pause and how their their long-term vision for the region um could affect our interest is giving us pause and I think especially what we’re seeing the increasing levels of collaboration between um Russia and the PRC and unprecedented styles of collaboration um especially in the military domain give us again pause.”
CHINA DOES NOT BORDER THE ARCTIC, BUT THE CHINESE COMMUNIST PARTY DECLARED THE COUNTRY A “NEAR-ARCTIC NATION” AND SEES THE REGION AS KEY TO ADVANCING ITS MILITARY AND ECONOMIC GOALS. MEANWHILE, RUSSIA’S WAR IN UKRAINE STRENGTHENED ITS TIES WITH BEIJING, OPENING NEW OPPORTUNITIES FOR COLLABORATION.
THE PENTAGON’S LATEST ARCTIC STRATEGY WARNS OF GROWING THREATS FROM BOTH NATIONS. IT HIGHLIGHTS CHINA’S USE OF DUAL-PURPOSE ICEBREAKERS, USED FOR UNDERWATER DRONE TESTING AND AIRCRAFT OPERATIONS. OUT OF NECESSITY, FERGUSON SAYS THE U.S. IS RAMPING UP ITS OWN ARCTIC EXERCISES WITH ALLIES .
IRIS A. FERGUSON
DEPUTY ASSISTANT SECRETARY OF DEFENSE FOR ARCTIC AND GLOBAL RESILIENCE
“We really just need to be clear eyed about some of their intentions in how we can be thinking about their long-term interest and how we can best protect ours.”
IN ADDITION TO THE HIMARS DEPLOYED TO THE ALEUTIANS… U.S. B-52 BOMBERS CONDUCTED ARCTIC LIVE-FIRE DRILLS ALONGSIDE NORWAY AND THE U.K.–ANOTHER OBVIOUS SHOW OF FORCE AND MEANT TO DETER ADVERSARIES.
FERGUSON ISEMPHASIZING THE NEED FOR RENEWED INVESTMENT IN ARCTIC INFRASTRUCTURE. DURING THE COLD WAR, THE U.S. HEAVILY FORTIFIED THE REGION, BUT MUCH OF THAT CAPABILITY WAS SCALED BACK OVER THE DECADES. NOW, DEFENSE EXPERTS ARE CALLING FOR A STRONGER, MORE PERMANENT PRESENCE TO MEET THE GROWING CHALLENGES POSED BY CHINA AND RUSSIA.
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